统计研究 ›› 2008, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (3): 71-74.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

直接消耗系数的组合更新法研究

胡兆光;谭显东   

  1. 国网北京经济技术研究院;华北电力大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-03-15 发布日期:2008-03-15

Study on a Combined Method for Updating Direct Consumption Coefficients

Hu Zhaoguang ;Tan Xiandong   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-03-15 Published:2008-03-15

摘要: 本文提出了一种更新直接消耗系数的新方法,即将修正RAS法与修正交叉熵法的更新结果进行平均的组合更新法。因为电力数据具有相对准确与及时的特点,所以本文首先提出了结合电力数据的修正RAS法与修正交叉熵法,在此基础上建立了组合更新法的数学模型,然后分别以三个实验比较了修正RAS法、修正交叉熵法以及组合更新法的效果。结果表明本组合更新法的更新精度比前两种方法都高,它是一种合理有效的更新方法。

关键词: 直接消耗系数, RAS法, 交叉熵法, 组合更新法

Abstract: This paper puts forward a new method to update direct consumption coefficients, which averages the results of revised RAS method and revised CE method. Because electric data is accurate and available in time, the revised RAS and revised CE methods with electric data are presented to set up a combined updating method, and then assess the performance of three methods by case study. The results show that the combined updating method is better than the other two.


 

Key words: Direct consumption coefficients, RAS method, Cross-Entropy method, Combined updating method