扩张财政政策对内外均衡的影响分析 ——基于篮子货币汇率制度下的蒙代尔—弗莱明模型

统计研究 ›› 2008, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (10): 26-33.

扩张财政政策对内外均衡的影响分析 ——基于篮子货币汇率制度下的蒙代尔—弗莱明模型

章和杰 ;陈威吏

收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-10-15 发布日期:2008-10-15

The Analysis on the Influence of Expansionary Fiscal Policy to Internal-external Equilibrium ——based on the Mundell-Fleming model which is under the Exchange Rate Regime of Basket Currencies

Zhang Hejie ; Chen Weili

Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-10-15 Published:2008-10-15

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 内容提要：本文根据中国当前的实际情况，对经典的M-F模型进行了修正，提出了基于篮子货币汇率制度的M-F模型，并在修正的M-F模型框架下对扩张财政政策对国民收入的影响效力进行了理论和实证分析。本文在前述分析的基础上进一步分析了财政支出对国内消费的决定作用。最后本文基于以上的分析，针对当前中国内外失衡的现状，提出当前政府应实施扩张的财政政策、优化财政支出结构等相关对策建议。

关键词: 关键词：M-F模型, 篮子货币, 扩张财政政策

Abstract: Abstract: The article modifies the classical M-F model according to the reality of China and provides a modified M-F model which is based on the exchange rate regime of basket currencies, and then the article analyzes the effect of expansionary fiscal policy on national income under the frame of the modified M-F model from two respects of theory and empirical analysis. The article further analyzes the decision role of fiscal expenditure to domestic consumption. Finally, based on above analyses, the article provides some suggestions aiming at the actuality of internal-external disequilibrium in China such as the government should take expansionary fiscal policy, and optimize fiscal expenditure structure and so on.

Key words: Key Words: M-F model, Basket of Currencies, Expansionary Fiscal Policy

章和杰, 陈威吏. 扩张财政政策对内外均衡的影响分析 ——基于篮子货币汇率制度下的蒙代尔—弗莱明模型 [J]. 统计研究, 2008, 25(10): 26-33.

Zhang Hejie, Chen Weili. The Analysis on the Influence of Expansionary Fiscal Policy to Internal-external Equilibrium ——based on the Mundell-Fleming model which is under the Exchange Rate Regime of Basket Currencies [J]. Statistical Research, 2008, 25(10): 26-33.

[1]	陆前进. 新汇改以来人民币汇率参考一篮子货币权重的估计及经验验证[J]. 统计研究, 2012, 29(5): 34-41.
[2]	章和杰何彦清. 财政政策与货币政策对国民收入的影响分析[J]. 统计研究, 2011, 28(5): 21-26.
[3]	章和杰陈威吏. “三缺口模型”下的内外均衡政策搭配文献综述——基于篮子货币汇率制度[J]. 统计研究, 2007, 24(12): 22-28.