统计研究 ›› 2007, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (11): 29-33.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

也谈中国钢铁工业供需机制的动态分析

谭英平   

  1. 对外经济贸易大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2007-11-15 发布日期:2007-11-15

Dynamic Analysis on the Supply and Demand Mechanism of China's Iron and Steel Industry

Tan Yingping   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2007-11-15 Published:2007-11-15

摘要: 摘  要:自1996年以来,中国钢铁工业在世界舞台上扮演着日益重要的角色,受到各界人士的密切关注。因此,研究中国钢铁工业近些年的发展轨迹,探寻产业内部特征与经济外部环境对我国钢铁工业供给与需求的影响结构,对于我国乃至世界钢铁工业的发展前景均有着重要的参考价值。本文在总结分析相关研究文献的基础上,尝试运用适当的统计、计量经济方法与模型,对中国钢铁工业的供需机制展开定量研究,改进和弥补已有研究存在的不足与缺陷,得出了具有一定理论与实践价值的结论 。

Abstract: Abstract:China' s iron and steel industry has played an important role in the international market since 1996, and its development has been focused by many people in different fields, so it is worthy to look into the development of China's iron and steel industry and investigate its supply and demand mechanism. Based on the literature review, this paper tries to make further research on the supply and demand mechanism of China' s iron and steel industry by using statistical and econometric methods.

 

Key words: Key words:Dynamic analysis, Cointegration test, Varying-parameter model, Error correction model