统计研究 ›› 2006, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (5): 64-69.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国牺牲率的估算及其影响因素分析:基于国际比较的实证研究

舒元; 黄新飞   

  1. 中山大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2006-05-15 发布日期:2006-05-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-05-15 Published:2006-05-15

Abstract: Abstract:Disinflation brings the loss of actual output, Sacrifice ratio is the ratio of the loss in output to the fall in trend. The article use the method of specific episodes developed by Ball (1994), to estimate the sacrifice ratio of China, the conclusion show that the average sacrifice ratio are 2.8 percent of a quarterly disinflation episode and 0.3 percent of four yearly disinflation episodes. Based on data of China and G-7, the empirical analysis indicates that quick speed of disinflation, high initial inflation and high openness are major influencing cause of the low sacrifice ratio of China