统计研究 ›› 2005, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (3): 14-6.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

货币供应、通货膨胀与中国经济增长——基于协整的实证分析

刘霖;靳云汇   

  1. 北京大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2005-03-15 发布日期:2005-03-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2005-03-15 Published:2005-03-15

关键词: 货币供应, 通货膨胀, 经济增长, 协整

Abstract: Utilizing the cointegration approach, the author sets a VAR model and analyzes the interrelationship among money supply, credit, inflation and economic growth. The author draws several important conclusions. In a long run, money supply and economic growth boost each other; money supply boosts credit,but it doesn‘t necessarily stimulate inflation in the course of economy monetarizing; inflation obstructs economic growth. In a short time, money supply stimulates economic growth;economic growth simulates money supply, credit and inflation。