统计研究 ›› 2004, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (4): 55-5.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

人民币均衡汇率估计:粘性价格目标区模型方法

窦祥胜; 杨炘   

  1. 清华大学
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2004-04-15 发布日期:2004-04-15

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2004-04-15 Published:2004-04-15

Abstract: The managedfloating exchange rate system is one of special manifestations of target zone system,and actually it is a quasi-target zone system. Hence RMB equilibrium exchange rate may be estimated by use of the method of exchange rate target zone model. At present, the sticky-price model is one of best models, and it is a extension of flex-price model. The model is based on assumptions of price inertia and output decided by demand. Under those assumptions and the condition of the commodity and the currency market equilibrium, a stochastic differential equation may be established, and in the light of theequation,we may get a exchange rate function. Our research indicates a good outcome may be made,applying the sticky-price model to estimate RMB equilibrium exchange rate.