统计研究 ›› 2001, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (10): 34-37.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国能源需求的经济计量分析

林伯强   

  • 出版日期:2001-10-15 发布日期:2011-09-29

The Econometric Research on Energy Demands of China

LIN Bo-Qiang   

  • Online:2001-10-15 Published:2011-09-29

Abstract: Based on modern economic theory and the characteristics of Chinese energy consumption, this paper analyzes the determinants of energy demand in China, builds Chinese energy demand model, examines the long-run relationship between China’s aggregate energy consumption and the main economic variables such as GDP using the Johansen multivariate approach. It is found that there exists unique long-run relationship among the variables in the model over the sample period. An error correction model provides an appropriate framework for forecasting the short-run fluctuations in the aggregate demand of China.