统计研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (10): 76-89.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2021.10.007

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土地确权、要素偏向性技术变革与产业结构转型

陈飞 刘宣宣   

  • 出版日期:2021-10-25 发布日期:2021-10-25

Land Ownership Confirmation, Factor-biased Technological Change and Industrial Structural Transformation

Chen Fei Liu Xuanxuan   

  • Online:2021-10-25 Published:2021-10-25

摘要: 本文在构建土地确权、偏向性技术变革与产业结构转型关系理论框架的基础上,利用2014年和2016年中国劳动力动态调查(CLDS)数据集中的村庄和家庭层面数据,实证检验土地确权对产业结构转型的影响以及基于要素偏向性技术变革的传导机制。研究结果显示,土地确权有利于提升农业劳均产出、降低农业劳动密集度、增加农户非农劳动时间,从而促进产业结构转型。通过中介效应检验发现,体现为农业机械化的劳动增强型技术变革是土地确权影响产业结构转型的重要渠道。通过工具变量回归、PSM方法、替换被解释变量和增加控制变量识别验证,上述结论稳健可靠。此外,异质性分析表明,对于农业大省、非专业农户和未享受农业补贴农户,土地确权改革呈现出加速农业现代化和促进产业结构转型的双重政策红利。

关键词: 土地确权, 偏向性技术变革, 产业结构转型

Abstract: Based on the theoretical framework of land ownership confirmation, factor-biased technological change and industrial structural transformation, this paper empirically tests the impact of land ownership confirmation on industrial structural transformation and the transmission mechanism of factor-biased technological change by using the village and family data collected from China Labor Dynamic Survey (CLDS) in 2014 and 2016 System. The research shows that the confirmation of land ownership is conducive to improving the average output of agricultural labor, reducing the intensity of agricultural labor, and increasing the non- agricultural labor time of farmers, and thus promoting the industrial structural transformation. Mediating effect test finds that labor-enhanced technological change represented by agricultural mechanization is an important channel through which land ownership confirmation influences industrial structural transformation. To ensure the reliability of the research conclusions, this paper uses instrumental variable regression, PSM method, replacing explained variables and adding control variables to carry out identification and verification, all of which show that the above conclusions are robust and reliable. In addition, heterogeneity analysis shows that for major agricultural provinces, non-professional farmers and farmers without agricultural subsidies, the land ownership confirmation presents a dual policy bonus of accelerating agricultural modernization and promoting the transformation of industrial structure.

Key words: Land Ownership Confirmation, Biased Technological Change, Industrial Structural Transformation