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### 重点行业碳减排是否会导致行业间的碳泄漏

• 出版日期:2018-08-25 发布日期:2018-08-16

### Will the Carbon Emission Reduction of Key Industries lead to Carbon Leakage in Industries?

Zhang Tongbin

• Online:2018-08-25 Published:2018-08-16

Abstract: From the perspective of input and output relationship among industries, it analyzes whether carbon emission reduction of the key industries, such as the high energy-consuming industry and energy industry, will lead to carbon leakage. The results show that the carbon emission reduction of key industries do not result in carbon leakage among the industries, but achieve the overall reduction of the “diffusion effect”. In other words, carbon emissions in all industries present declining characteristics. Two aspects of the price system change and the input-output structure variation support this phenomenon. On one hand, emission reduction in key industries lead to the rising of production costs in high energy-consuming industry and energy industry, as well as the increase of factor costs and product prices in low energy-consuming industry and construction industry. Thus, the “rebound effect” of consumption increasing in high energy-consuming industrial products and energy products has not appeared. On the other hand, under the influences of key industries carbon emission reduction, the inputs of high energy-consuming products and energy products can be effectively controlled and reduced in all industries. Among them, the decreasing magnitudes of intermediate inputs in energy industry, high energy-consuming industry, low energy-consuming industry and construction industry, which are closely related with each other, are relatively large. These industries make a considerably contribution to the carbon emission reduction.