统计研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (10): 23-37.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki. 1-1302/c.2021.10.003

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技术封锁是否会抑制中国创新发展?——基于国外技术引进和国内技术购买的对冲效应解释

李勃昕 董雨 韩先锋   

  • 出版日期:2021-10-25 发布日期:2021-10-25

Will Technology Blockade Inhibit the Innovation Development of China?:Analysis on the Hedging Effect of Foreign Technology Import and Domestic Technology Purchase

Li Boxin Dong Yu Han Xianfeng   

  • Online:2021-10-25 Published:2021-10-25

摘要: 本文通过微观生产函数模型分析技术成本与创新收益之间的因果关系,借助宏观创新产出模型阐释国外技术引进和国内技术购买对创新驱动的共轨溢出机制。实证研究发现:国内技术购买 在创新产业化阶段和技术创新阶段均释放了积极的溢出效应,而国外技术引进对生产技术水平的影响 并不显著,还会抑制地区技术创新效率。动态强度估计结果显示,国内技术购买对生产技术水平的影响具有先抑后扬的“∪”型特征,特定强度的国内技术购买能够释放积极的创新溢出效应;国外技术引进对生产技术水平呈现出边际递减的负向溢出,而对技术创新效率产生了先正后负的“∩”型影响。进一步对冲检验发现,高强度国内技术购买在一定程度上能够撬动国外技术引进的技术溢出红利,而在国外技术引进冲击下,国内技术购买的技术溢出和创新溢出存在双向调节差异。

关键词: 创新型国家建设, 国外技术引进, 国内技术购买, 生产技术水平, 技术创新效率

Abstract: This paper analyzes the causal relationship between the technology cost and the innovation profit through the micro production function model, and explains the common rail spillover mechanism of foreign technology import and domestic technology purchase on innovation-driven development by the macro innovation output model. Empirical studies find that domestic technology purchase releases positive spillovers both in innovation industrialization and technological innovation, while foreign technology import does not have a significant impact on production technology level yet inhibits regional technological innovation efficiency. The results of dynamic strength estimation show that the effect of domestic technology purchase on production technology level demonstrates a “∪” pattern from restraining to raising; under specific strengths, the domestic technology purchase can release positive innovation spillovers. Foreign technology import has a negative marginal spillover on production technology level, and a “ ∩”-shaped impact on technological innovation efficiency. Further hedging tests show that high-strength domestic technology purchase can leverage the technology spillover bonus of foreign technology import to a certain extent; due to the impact of foreign technology import, the technology spillover and the innovation spillover of the domestic technology purchase show a double regulation difference.

Key words: Innovative Country Development, Foreign Technology Import, Domestic Technology Purchase, Level of Production Technology, Technological Innovation Efficiency