统计研究 ›› 2020, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (5): 54-67.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2020.05.005

• • 上一篇    下一篇

中国城市民生发展的区域差异测度、来源分解与形成机理

陈明华 刘玉鑫 刘文斐 王山   

  • 出版日期:2020-05-25 发布日期:2020-05-12

Measurement, Source Decomposition and Formation Mechanism of Regional Differences in Urban Livelihood Development in China

Chen Minghua Liu Yuxin Liu Wenfei Wang Shan   

  • Online:2020-05-25 Published:2020-05-12

摘要: 本文基于熵值法构建城市民生发展指数,利用Dagum基尼系数和方差分解方法首次从空间和结构两个视角考察我国城市民生发展的差异大小及来源,并运用关系数据分析范式研究其形成机理。研究发现:我国城市民生发展水平持续向好,但2010年之后民生发展不均衡现象显著;民生发展总体差异主要来源于区域间差异,其中东部和中部区域间差异贡献最大,东部区域内差异贡献显著高于中部、西部地区;社会发展差异和生态建设差异是民生发展差异的主要结构来源;人民生活差异、科技创新差异对民生发展差异的影响均从东向西依次减弱,社会发展差异的作用则依次增强,生态建设差异的影响在中部地区最为突出,经济发展差异对东部地区的影响较弱;人民生活差异、科技创新差异上升是导致2010年之后民生发展差异扩大的主要原因。本研究丰富了城市民生评价体系的构建方案,为揭示我国城市民生发展差异状况、探索协同提升对策提供了重要借鉴经验。

关键词: 城市民生发展指数, 空间差异, 结构来源, QAP

Abstract: This paper constructs the urban livelihood development index based on the entropy method, uses the Dagum Gini coefficient and the variance decomposition method to investigate the size and source of the differences in people’s livelihood development in urban China from the perspectives of space and structure for the first time, and uses the relational data analysis paradigm to study its formation mechanism. The results are as follows. The development level of people’s livelihood in urban China continues to improve, but its imbalance after 2010 is significant. The overall difference in people’s livelihood development mainly comes from inter-regional differences, in which the difference between the eastern and central regions contributes the most, and the contribution of differences within the eastern region is significantly higher than that within the central and western regions. Differences in social development and in ecological development are the main structural sources of differences in people’s livelihood development. The differences in people’s life and in scientific and technological innovation weakens successively from the east to the west, while the effect of social development differences increases. The impact of difference in ecological development is the most prominent in the central region. The difference in economic development has a weaker impact on the eastern region. Rising differences in people’s life and in scientific and technological innovation are the main reasons for the expansion of the differences in people’s livelihood after 2010. This study enriches the construction plan of the evaluation system of urban livelihood, and can provide important reference for revealing the differences in the development of urban livelihood in China and exploring its synergistic improvement measures.

Key words: Urban Livelihood Development Index, Spatial Difference, Structural Source, Quadratic Assignment Procedure