统计研究 ›› 2019, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (11): 3-13.doi: 10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2019.11.001

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VisIOT:经济产业结构关联可视分析

周志光 石晨 胡淼鑫   

  • 出版日期:2019-11-25 发布日期:2019-11-28

VisIOT: Visual Analysis of Economic Structure Correlation

Zhou Zhiguang Shi Chen Hu Miaoxin   

  • Online:2019-11-25 Published:2019-11-28

摘要: 随着经济统计范畴的精细化以及统计过程的规范化,能够表现产业部门关联关系的投入产出表(Input-Output Table,IOT)数据日益呈现复杂的结构特性。传统的统计分析软件和方法形式单一且传达信息有限,面对结构关系复杂且动态演化的IOT数据,难以有效分析和探索其中复杂的关联模式和时序变化特征。为此,本文设计面对IOT数据分析的经济产业结构关联特征可视化工具——VisIOT。首先设计双向力导向图描述国民经济结构关联网络,并对网络中的顶点和边进行属性映射;然后构建时序矩阵图,直观地展示IOT数据差异,并按照时间顺序依次嵌入时序IOT数据;其次利用部门间的经济技术联系优化模块度算法,发掘经济产业结构关联网络中隐含的社区特征,有效支持关联紧密的社区结构的交互式分析和提取;再次设计社区时序演变图展示社区结构特征的时序演化规律,借助交叉优化算法和前后向的扫描算法,优化部门排列顺序,减少部门交叉,帮助用户有效捕捉社区结构的稳定性;最后有效设计交互方案关联可视化界面,实现经济产业结构关联可视分析系统。本文利用真实的IOT数据进行实例分析与验证,结果表明本文设计的VisIOT系统能够帮助用户快速识别和感知IOT数据中隐含的关联特征及其时序变化规律。

关键词: 投入产出表, 可视分析, 经济结构网络, 社区发现, 时序分析

Abstract: With the refinement of the category of economic statistics and the standardization of statistical process, the input-output table (IOT) data that can effectively measure the correlation of industries are increasingly presented with complex structural characteristics. The traditional statistical analysis software and method can only convey limited information through a few simple forms. Faced with the complex and dynamic evolution of IOT data, it is difficult for users to effectively analyze the hidden relationship and explore the characteristics of the temporal sequence. Therefore, this paper designs a visual tool named VisIOT to explore the related features in economic structure. First, Two-way force-directed graph is designed to describe the associated network topology structure in the economy. We then use matrix diagrams to visually show the differences between IOT data, and embed the multiple data into the cell in a temporal sequence order, building the chronological matrix diagram. Furthermore, we construct the chronological force-directed diagram, using the temporal and spatial attributes of IOT data to map the network nodes and connections. To effectively analyze and extract the industrial groups in economic relation structure, the modularity algorithm is used to dig into the connotative characteristics of community structure in the association relationship. After that we design a temporal community evolution diagram to show the temporal evolution pattern of community structure characteristics, which helps users effectively capture the community structure stability. Finally, convenient interactions are also integrated in this system for a visual interface to realize the visual analysis system of economic structure correlation. We use real IOT data for case analysis and verification, and the results show that our method can help users to quickly identify and perceive the associated characteristics and temporal variation patterns implicated in IOT data.

Key words: Input-Output Table, Visual Analysis, Economic Structure Network, Community Detection, Temporal Analysis